Pre-Crime and Predictive Policing

25 January 2012 11:11

Pre-Crime and Predictive Policing


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The slides from this event can be found here.

Predicting where offences will occur and deploying police before crime happens has been an inexact science until recently, but that may soon change. Two pilots of the experimental ‘predictive policing’ method are underway in California and this new approach could have important lessons for UK policing in how forces deploy their resources to prevent crime.

Detailed historical crime data and computer algorithms based on criminal behaviour patterns are being utilised to predict where crime is likely to occur and when, allowing police resources to be allocated before crime takes place.  If effective, the predictive policing method could enable the police to use modern computer models to meet the Peelian objective of policing – to prevent crime that has yet to occur, rather than respond ever more effectively to past crimes and the detection of perpetrators.

The most robust predictive policing pilot, in Los Angeles, has just begun and shows some promising early results. The lead officer for the LAPD pilot, and a pioneer of predictive policing, Sean Malinowski, will be a speaker alongside George Tita, an expert on predictive models, from the University of California at Irvine.

Their presentation will be followed by a response from Nick Gargan, Chief Executive of the NPIA, who will discuss implications for the UK, before a general discussion and Q&A session.



The Ideas Space, Policy Exchange, 10 Storey's Gate, Westminster, SW1P 3AY
pre-crime and predictive policing